Sample size for a pilot study to estimate the CVintra [Power / Sample Size]

posted by Helmut Homepage – Vienna, Austria, 2010-03-02 03:19 (5553 d 19:10 ago) – Posting: # 4848
Views: 13,200

Hi ElMaestro!

❝ 4 to 6 in a pilot trial sounds like it may result in a CVintra that is too poorly estimated. There are no rules, and 'poorly' is in this regard purely my personal subjective unqualified view.


No, 'poorly' is not purely your personal view, but qualified by the table from my previous post. Part:
 n  10%   15%   20%   30%   40%   50%
 6  15.6  23.6  31.6  48.2  65.8  84.8
16  12.2  18.3  24.4  36.9  49.5  62.5


If we calculate a CVintra of 20% in the pilot (n=6), the upper 80% CL of the CVintra is 31.6%. In other words there is a 20% chance that the CV might even be higher than 31.6%. If the pilot study study is larger (n=16), the estimated CV gets more reliable (=less uncertain) with 24.4%.

You are right with the sequential designs. If I don't have a lot (!) of previous data, I made them already my new standard.

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