## BABE 101 (lenghty and spiced with PK) [Software]

Hi Zoey,

Welcome to the club.

Bioavailability (BA), bioequivalence (BE) and an excursion into pharmacokinetics (PK)…

If \(\small{\textrm{EV}}\) is an orally administered solution and \(\small{f<1}\), it means that the drug is not completely absorbed and/or partly degrades in the GI-tract and/or is metabolized (already in the gut wall and/or the liver). From a clinical perspective a high \(\small{f}\) is desirable because we can expect low variability. On the other hand, drugs with low \(\small{f}\) can be effective as well. One example are bisphosphonates with \(\small{F\sim 2-4\%}\).

The first part of the \(\small{\textrm{EV}}\)-curve shows absorption,

For some highly soluble and highly permeable drugs (

If \(\small{\textrm{EV}_1}\) is an immediate-release product it is desirable to match the solution as close as possible. If you have a toothache and take a pain-killer, you don’t want to get the effect after a couple of hours…

On the other hand, if \(\small{\textrm{EV}_2}\) is an immediate-release product and \(\small{\textrm{EV}_1}\) a modified-release product intended for chronic use, such a delayed and reduced \(\small{C_{\textrm{max}}}\) is desirable. It might increase compliance (say, if the patient has to take the MR-product only once a day instead of the IR-product twice a day) and reduce adverse events due to extreme concentrations (after multiple doses the fluctuations of concentrations will be lower). In the late 1980s this was summarized in the catch-phrase

In

The definition as given in the Code of Federal Regulations, Title 21, Volume 5, Chapter I, Part 314, Suppart A, $314.3:

Also note the “site of action”. In general this relates to receptors which may be located at a limited area (

Main assumptions and conditions in BE:

Although applied in the early days of BE, we abandoned testing for a significant difference decades ago. Instead a “clinically not relevant difference” \(\small{\Delta}\) is used, which is generally 0.20 (or 20%). For Narrow Therapeutic Index Drugs (NTIDs) or Highly Variable Drugs (HVDs) \(\small{\Delta}\) might be smaller or larger.

Concentrations cannot be negative and therefore, assuming that they are normally distributed$$C\in \mathbb{R}\:\vee \{-\infty,+\infty\}\tag{5}$$would be stupid. Instead we assume a lognormal distribution$$C\in \mathbb{R}^+\:\vee \{>0,+\infty\}\tag{6}$$where concentrations are positive.

For convenience (our statistical models require additive effects) we [log

Then we state two hypotheses:$$H_0:\; \mu_{\textrm{T}}/\mu_{\textrm{R}}\notin \{\theta_1,\theta_2\}\tag{7.1}$$$$H_{\textrm{a}}:\; \mu_{\textrm{T}}/\mu_{\textrm{R}}\in \{\theta_1,\theta_2\}\tag{7.2}$$where \(\small{H_0}\) is the

By means of Harry Potter’s magic wand we obtain from our study a “point estimate” (the most likely result) and its \(\small{100(1-2\alpha)=90\%}\)

The FDA retrospectively assessed 2,070 ANDAs from 1996 to 2007.

Regrettably there is still a negative attitude against generic drugs amongst stakeholders (patients, pharmacists, physicians).

In the early days of BE innovator companies tried hard to falsify the concept of BE. They performed therapeutic equivalence (TE) studies in a large number of patients together with BE studies in healthy volunteers. The idea behind was: If the BE study passes and the TE study fails it would show that the concept is wrong. Lot of money spent, no avail; BE “works”. Soon the innovators realized that if they would succeed in falsifying the concept, they would shoot themselves in the foot.

Hope that helps.

[list=a][*]On the premise of linear pharmacokinetics,

We cannot administer drugs with low \(\small{f}\) at the same dose because the \(\small{\textrm{IV}}\) dose may lead to adverse effects. In a later stage of development dose-proportionality has to be assessed anyhow. Given recent advances in bioanalytics – which allows measuring extremely low concentrations – an alternative is microdosing.

[*]Of course, we cannot

In practice we measure as long as we can (in the example for 24 hours), estimate \(\small{k_{\textrm{el}}}\) by log-linear regression and perform an extrapolation by$$AUC_{0-\infty}=\int_{0}^{t}C(t)+\frac{\widehat{C_{{\textrm{t}}}}}{k_{\textrm{el}}}\tag{9}$$BTW, have you ever heard the term “half life”?

It’s obtained by \(\small{t_{1/2}=-\log_{e} 2 / \small{k_{\textrm{el}}}}\). In my examples I had \(\small{k_{\textrm{el}}}\;0.1733\) and therefore, \(\small{t_{1/2}=0.6931/0.1733\sim 4\;\textrm{hours}.}\)

To the right a plot like

\(\small{100 \xrightarrow[4\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_2]{t_{1/2}}50 \xrightarrow[8\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_4]{t_{1/2}}25 \xrightarrow[12\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_8]{t_{1/2}}12.5 \xrightarrow[16\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_{16}]{t_{1/2}}6.25 \xrightarrow[20\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_{32}]{t_{1/2}}3.125 \xrightarrow[24\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_{64}]{t_{1/2}}1.5625.}\)

After five half lives (here 20 hours) already 96.875% of the drug left the systemic circulation. We see also that after \(\small{2\times t_{{\textrm{max}}}}\) (8 hours) of the \(\small{\textrm{EV}}\) dose its elimination runs in parallel to the one of the \(\small{\textrm{IV}}\) dose, meaning that absorption is essentially complete. That’s good because we can estimate its \(\small{k_{\textrm{el}}}\) which we need in extrapolating the \(\small{AUC}\) acc. to \(\small{(9)}\).

[*]Extravascular means any route of administration which is

Hence, it can be more complicated than in the simple examples before.

In

[*]For NTIDs in some jurisdictions \(\small{\Delta}\) is fixed at 0.10, which gives an acceptance range (AR) of 90.00–111.11%. The FDA recommends that the AR is “scaled” based of the variability of the reference-drug and – in rare cases – it might be even narrower.

For HVDs \(\small{\Delta}\) some jurisdictions recommend a fixed \(\small{\Delta}\) of 0.25, which gives an AR of 75.00–133.33%. Others recommend “reference-scaling”, where \(\small{\Delta\leqslant 0.3016}\) might lead to an AR of up to 69.84–143.19%. HVDs are safe drugs because they have a flat dose-response curve (large differences in concentrations lead to small differences in effects). If they would have a step dose-response curve they would not get approved first because in the Phase III studies – due to the high variability – there would be an unacceptable high number of patients experiencing AEs (toxicity) and lacking effects. Furthermore, if there would problems become evident in Phase IV studies (post marketing) or pharmacovigilance they would have been taken off the market. In short, HVDs “work”

[*]Why not the 95% CI which is employed in Phase III clinical studies of a new treatment? In those studies a one-sided test is performed (hoping that the treatment is superior to placebo or an established standard treatment). Hence, the patient’s risk (the Type I Error) is 5%. Yes, there is a 5% chance that even a “blockbuster-drug”

[*]Like in your example about \(\small{Z}\)-scores. With 50 students it’s fine because the

[*]From a regulatory point of view the outcome is dichotomous;

[*]All applicable regulatory guidances mandate that the study is designed for a certain – high – power (

[*]If the true \(\small{\textrm{T}/\textrm{R}}\)-ratio would be 80% or 125%, even a study with the entire population of our lovely planet will fail to show BE since the lower (or upper) confidence limit would be outside the AR.

[*]Davit BM, Nwakama PE, Buehler GJ, Conner DP, Haidar SH, Patel DT, Yang Y, Yu LX, Woodcock J.

[*]Dunne SS, Dunne CP.

[*]The Phase III study of the first statin (simvastatin) was performed in thousands (‼) of patients. Such a high number was required to demonstrate superiority to a low-cholesterol diet; the study took 5½ years. Can you imagine how many patients would be required to show a

BTW, Phase III studies of two COVID-19 vaccine candidates started in 30,000 volunteers each…[/list]

❝ I'm new here and this is a good find.

Welcome to the club.

❝ I was planning to write a bit about Bioavailability,…

Bioavailability (BA), bioequivalence (BE) and an excursion into pharmacokinetics (PK)…

**Absolute BA**is^{ a}$$f=\frac{{\color{Blue}{AUC_{\textrm{EV}}}}\: {\color{Black}\times}\: {\color{Red}{D_{\textrm{IV}}}}}{\color{Red}{{AUC_{\textrm{IV}}}}\:{\color{Black}\times}\: {\color{Blue}{D_{\textrm{EV}}}}}\tag{1}$$where$$AUC=\int_{0}^{\infty}C(t)\tag{2}$$is the Area Under the Curve (\(\small{AUC}\)) as the integral of the concentration-time curve from the time of administration \(\small{(t=0)}\) to infinite time.^{ b}\(\small{\textrm{EV}}\) denotes an extravascular^{ c}and \(\small{\textrm{IV}}\) an intravenous dose \(\small{D}\). Sometimes you’ll find \(\small{F}\) instead, which is simply \(\small{f}\) in percent. In the example above \(\small{F=100\%}\) because the same doses were administered and \(\small{AUCs}\) are identical. BTW, \(\small{f_{\textrm{abs}}}\) is an oxymoron.If \(\small{\textrm{EV}}\) is an orally administered solution and \(\small{f<1}\), it means that the drug is not completely absorbed and/or partly degrades in the GI-tract and/or is metabolized (already in the gut wall and/or the liver). From a clinical perspective a high \(\small{f}\) is desirable because we can expect low variability. On the other hand, drugs with low \(\small{f}\) can be effective as well. One example are bisphosphonates with \(\small{F\sim 2-4\%}\).

The first part of the \(\small{\textrm{EV}}\)-curve shows absorption,

*i.e.*, how the drug permeates through the gastric membranes. That’s a continuous process which decreases with time because less drug remains in the GI-tract.For some highly soluble and highly permeable drugs (

*e.g.*, salbutamol) after an inhalation maximum concentrations are reached extremely fast and the onset of action occurs in less than 15 minutes. Good news for asthmatics.**Relative BA**compares*two*extravascular doses, or$$f_{\textrm{rel}}=\frac{{\color{Green}{AUC_{\textrm{EV}_1}}}\times {\color{Blue}{D_{\textrm{EV}_2}}}}{{\color{Blue}{AUC_{\textrm{EV}_2}}}\times {\color{Green}{D_{\textrm{EV}_1}}}}.\tag{3}$$If \(\small{\textrm{EV}_1}\) is a pharmaceutical product and \(\small{\textrm{EV}_2}\) an orally administered solution, it shows the influence of the formulation on BA. Here the \(\small{AUC\textrm{s}}\) are identical but the maximum concentration (\(\small{C_{\textrm{max}}}\)) of \(\small{\textrm{EV}_1}\) is lower and observed at a later time. That’s common since the formulation has to disintegrate first and then the drug dissolve.If \(\small{\textrm{EV}_1}\) is an immediate-release product it is desirable to match the solution as close as possible. If you have a toothache and take a pain-killer, you don’t want to get the effect after a couple of hours…

On the other hand, if \(\small{\textrm{EV}_2}\) is an immediate-release product and \(\small{\textrm{EV}_1}\) a modified-release product intended for chronic use, such a delayed and reduced \(\small{C_{\textrm{max}}}\) is desirable. It might increase compliance (say, if the patient has to take the MR-product only once a day instead of the IR-product twice a day) and reduce adverse events due to extreme concentrations (after multiple doses the fluctuations of concentrations will be lower). In the late 1980s this was summarized in the catch-phrase

*“The flatter is better”*.In

**BE**\(\small{\textrm{EV}_1}\) is the new (Test, \(\small{\textrm{T}}\)) treatment and \(\small{\textrm{EV}_2}\) the standard (Reference, \(\small{\textrm{R}}\)) treatment compared at the same dose. Hence, the dose cancels out from \(\small{(3)}\) and we obtain$$f_{\textrm{rel}}=\frac{AUC_{\textrm{T}}}{AUC_{\textrm{R}}}.\tag{4}$$In**fig. 2**above \(\small{f_{\textrm{rel}}=100\%}\) but the maximum concentration of \(\small{\textrm{T}}\) is lower than the one of \(\small{\textrm{R}}\). Hence, regulatory agencies require not only a comparison of the “extent of absorption” \(\small{AUC}\) but also of the “rate of absorption” (assessed by \(\small{C_{\textrm{max}}}\) and – sometimes – its time \(\small{t_{\textrm{max}}}\)).The definition as given in the Code of Federal Regulations, Title 21, Volume 5, Chapter I, Part 314, Suppart A, $314.3:

*Bioequivalence* is the absence of a significant difference in the rate and extent to which the active ingredient or active moiety in pharmaceutical equivalents or pharmaceutical alternatives becomes available at the site of drug action when administered at the same molar dose under similar conditions in an appropriately designed study.

Also note the “site of action”. In general this relates to receptors which may be located at a limited area (

*e.g.*, ones regulating blood pressure in the carotid sinus), more widely spread (in the central nervous system), or almost ubiquitous (pain receptors throughout the body except the brain). Biopsies are definitely not an option and generally we measure concentrations in plasma.Main assumptions and conditions in BE:

- If products lead to similar concentrations in the systemic circulation, concentrations at the receptors are similar as well. In the strict sense that’s valid only in equilibrium (steady state after multiple doses), but due to the law of mass action already a single dose comes pretty close.

- The subject population is selected with the aim of permitting detection of differences between products,
*i.e.*, the most sensitive condition (fasting or fed state, dose strength, regimen) is employed.

- Based on I. and II., BE in healthy subjects is a surrogate for therapeutic equivalence (TE,
*i.e.*, studies in patients assessing safety and efficacy).

- Some drugs (belonging to the Biopharmaceutics Classification System class I with high solubility and high permeability) behave like a solution – where BE is not required – and hence, demonstrating
*in vitro*similarity is considered a valid surrogate for*in vivo*BE.

*i.e.*, want to come to a conclusion with a certain probability. The significance level of the test \(\small{\alpha}\) is fixed by regulatory agencies with 0.05. That means that the chance that the new product is – erroneously – approved (although it is not bioequivalent) is ≤5%. This translates into a limited risk for patients: If concentrations would be too high, there might be problems with safety (adverse effects, toxicity) and if they would be too low, problems with (lacking) efficacy.Although applied in the early days of BE, we abandoned testing for a significant difference decades ago. Instead a “clinically not relevant difference” \(\small{\Delta}\) is used, which is generally 0.20 (or 20%). For Narrow Therapeutic Index Drugs (NTIDs) or Highly Variable Drugs (HVDs) \(\small{\Delta}\) might be smaller or larger.

^{ d}Concentrations cannot be negative and therefore, assuming that they are normally distributed$$C\in \mathbb{R}\:\vee \{-\infty,+\infty\}\tag{5}$$would be stupid. Instead we assume a lognormal distribution$$C\in \mathbb{R}^+\:\vee \{>0,+\infty\}\tag{6}$$where concentrations are positive.

For convenience (our statistical models require additive effects) we [log

_{ℯ}-transform our data. This affects also the limits of our acceptance range (AR) \(\small{\{\theta_1,\theta_2\}}\),*i.e.*, for the common \(\small{\Delta}\) of 0.20 we obtain \(\small{\theta_1=1-\Delta=80\%}\) and \(\small{\theta_2=1/(1-\Delta)=125\%}\). Note that in the log_{ℯ}-domain (where the analysis is performed) perfectly matching products with a \(\small{\textrm{T}/\textrm{R}}\)-ratio of 100% have \(\small{\log_{e} 1=0}\) and limits are symmetric with \(\small{\log_{e} \theta_1\sim -0.2231}\) and \(\small{\log_{e} \theta_2\sim +0.2231}\).Then we state two hypotheses:$$H_0:\; \mu_{\textrm{T}}/\mu_{\textrm{R}}\notin \{\theta_1,\theta_2\}\tag{7.1}$$$$H_{\textrm{a}}:\; \mu_{\textrm{T}}/\mu_{\textrm{R}}\in \{\theta_1,\theta_2\}\tag{7.2}$$where \(\small{H_0}\) is the

*“Null Hypothesis”*of bioinequivalence and \(\small{H_{\textrm{a}}}\) the*“Alternative Hypothesis”*of bioequivalence. Note that we cannot “proove” anything in science; here we*hope*to reject the Null Hypothesis (and implicitly accepting the*alternative*of BE).By means of Harry Potter’s magic wand we obtain from our study a “point estimate” (the most likely result) and its \(\small{100(1-2\alpha)=90\%}\)

^{ e}confidence interval (CI). Since sample sizes might be small (occasionally only twelve volunteers), we cannot use a test based on the normal distribution^{ f}but have to employ the*t*-distribution. There are three^{ g}possible outcomes (see also this presentation, slides 29–30):- The CI lies
*entirely within*the acceptance range. We demonstrated that \(\small{\textrm{T}}\)*is*bioequivalent to \(\small{\textrm{R}}\) and open a bottle of champagne.

- The CI
*overlaps*the AR (*i.e.*, at least one confidence limit is outside): The outcome is indecisive. It*might be*that \(\small{\textrm{T}}\)*is*bioequivalent but we failed to demonstrate it. \(\small{\textrm{T}}\) might have deviated more from \(\small{\textrm{R}}\) than we assumed in study planning, and/or the variability might have been higher than assumed, and/or there might have been more dropouts than anticipated.^{ h}Whether it makes sense to repeat the study with more volunteers is a science in itself.

- The CI lies
*entirely outside*the AR. We demonstrated that \(\small{\textrm{T}}\)*is not*bioequivalent to \(\small{\textrm{R}}\). End of the story.

*Ask ten physicians how bioequivalence works and eleven of them will get it wrong.*

*sic*] that with an acceptance range of 80–125% two products might differ by 45% ignoring the fact that each of them had to pass BE with the confidence interval inclusion approach.^{ i}The FDA retrospectively assessed 2,070 ANDAs from 1996 to 2007.

^{ j}It turned out that the average deviation from the RLD (reference-listed drug,*i.e.*, the originator’s approved via an NDA) was 3.56% for \(\small{AUC}\) and 4.35% for \(\small{C_{\textrm{max}}}\). Furthermore, in nearly 98% of the BE studies […], the generic product’s \(\small{AUC}\) differed from that of the innovator product by less than 10%…Regrettably there is still a negative attitude against generic drugs amongst stakeholders (patients, pharmacists, physicians).

^{ k}Possibly the perception of “cheaper = of poor quality” triggers a nocebo effect in patients and physicians are mislead by various case reports about “failing drugs”.In the early days of BE innovator companies tried hard to falsify the concept of BE. They performed therapeutic equivalence (TE) studies in a large number of patients together with BE studies in healthy volunteers. The idea behind was: If the BE study passes and the TE study fails it would show that the concept is wrong. Lot of money spent, no avail; BE “works”. Soon the innovators realized that if they would succeed in falsifying the concept, they would shoot themselves in the foot.

^{ l}They have also to demonstrate BE when scaling-up manufacturing from the small batches (likely less than 10,000 units) used in their Phase III studies to the final production batch size (sometimes millions of units). Furthermore, BE is also required if the formulation is substantially changed. People would be surprised how far the originator’s product might have ‘drifted’ from the original BA (see this post).Hope that helps.

[list=a][*]On the premise of linear pharmacokinetics,

*i.e.*, both absorption and elimination are*independent*from dose. THX to John for pointing that out!We cannot administer drugs with low \(\small{f}\) at the same dose because the \(\small{\textrm{IV}}\) dose may lead to adverse effects. In a later stage of development dose-proportionality has to be assessed anyhow. Given recent advances in bioanalytics – which allows measuring extremely low concentrations – an alternative is microdosing.

[*]Of course, we cannot

*measure*the concentration until \(\small{t=\infty}\). With a few exceptions (*e.g.*, alcohol) – for \(\small{\textrm{EV}}\)^{ c}once absorption is essentially complete – concentrations follow an exponential decrease,*i.e.*,$$C(t)=C_0 \exp (-k_{\textrm{el}}\times t)\tag{8}$$where \(\small{k_{\textrm{el}}}\) is the elimination rate constant.In practice we measure as long as we can (in the example for 24 hours), estimate \(\small{k_{\textrm{el}}}\) by log-linear regression and perform an extrapolation by$$AUC_{0-\infty}=\int_{0}^{t}C(t)+\frac{\widehat{C_{{\textrm{t}}}}}{k_{\textrm{el}}}\tag{9}$$BTW, have you ever heard the term “half life”?

It’s obtained by \(\small{t_{1/2}=-\log_{e} 2 / \small{k_{\textrm{el}}}}\). In my examples I had \(\small{k_{\textrm{el}}}\;0.1733\) and therefore, \(\small{t_{1/2}=0.6931/0.1733\sim 4\;\textrm{hours}.}\)

To the right a plot like

**fig. 1**but with concentrations in a logarithmic scale. After the \(\small{\textrm{IV}}\) dose every \(\small{t_{1/2}}\) the concentration drops by 50%:\(\small{100 \xrightarrow[4\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_2]{t_{1/2}}50 \xrightarrow[8\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_4]{t_{1/2}}25 \xrightarrow[12\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_8]{t_{1/2}}12.5 \xrightarrow[16\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_{16}]{t_{1/2}}6.25 \xrightarrow[20\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_{32}]{t_{1/2}}3.125 \xrightarrow[24\,\textrm{h}:\,^1/_{64}]{t_{1/2}}1.5625.}\)

After five half lives (here 20 hours) already 96.875% of the drug left the systemic circulation. We see also that after \(\small{2\times t_{{\textrm{max}}}}\) (8 hours) of the \(\small{\textrm{EV}}\) dose its elimination runs in parallel to the one of the \(\small{\textrm{IV}}\) dose, meaning that absorption is essentially complete. That’s good because we can estimate its \(\small{k_{\textrm{el}}}\) which we need in extrapolating the \(\small{AUC}\) acc. to \(\small{(9)}\).

[*]Extravascular means any route of administration which is

*not intravenous*(a fast injection or an infusion),*e.g.*, oral, sublingual, rectal, vaginal, topical (transdermal systems, creams, ointments, …), inhalation, intranasal, ophthalmic, intramuscular and subcutaneous injections, …Hence, it can be more complicated than in the simple examples before.

In

**fig. 4**\(\small{\textrm{EV}_1}\) is a so-called “pulsatile” oral formulation, which releases 60% of the dose fast (for a rapid onset of effect) and 40% with a slower absorption \(\small{t_{1/2}}\) after four hours (for maintenance of effect). \(\small{\textrm{EV}_2}\) is a transdermal system, where the patch is removed after eight hours.[*]For NTIDs in some jurisdictions \(\small{\Delta}\) is fixed at 0.10, which gives an acceptance range (AR) of 90.00–111.11%. The FDA recommends that the AR is “scaled” based of the variability of the reference-drug and – in rare cases – it might be even narrower.

For HVDs \(\small{\Delta}\) some jurisdictions recommend a fixed \(\small{\Delta}\) of 0.25, which gives an AR of 75.00–133.33%. Others recommend “reference-scaling”, where \(\small{\Delta\leqslant 0.3016}\) might lead to an AR of up to 69.84–143.19%. HVDs are safe drugs because they have a flat dose-response curve (large differences in concentrations lead to small differences in effects). If they would have a step dose-response curve they would not get approved first because in the Phase III studies – due to the high variability – there would be an unacceptable high number of patients experiencing AEs (toxicity) and lacking effects. Furthermore, if there would problems become evident in Phase IV studies (post marketing) or pharmacovigilance they would have been taken off the market. In short, HVDs “work”

*despite*their high variability which justifies a wider AR for them.[*]Why not the 95% CI which is employed in Phase III clinical studies of a new treatment? In those studies a one-sided test is performed (hoping that the treatment is superior to placebo or an established standard treatment). Hence, the patient’s risk (the Type I Error) is 5%. Yes, there is a 5% chance that even a “blockbuster-drug”

*does not*perform better than snake oil… In BE we want limit the patient’s risk to 5% as well. However, in a*particular*patient concentrations can be*either*too low*or*too high but obviously not at the same time. Hence, the 90% CI covers both scenarios in the*population*of patients.[*]Like in your example about \(\small{Z}\)-scores. With 50 students it’s fine because the

*t*-distribution approaches the normal distribution reasonably fast. Most people happily apply \(\small{\mathcal{N}}\) if \(\small{n\geqslant 30}\). However, in BE we are a cautious bunch and*always*use tests based on the*t*-distribution.[*]From a regulatory point of view the outcome is dichotomous;

*either*the study passed (#1)*or*it failed (#2 or #3). From the producer’s perspective only #3 is a disaster. In the gray zone (#2) there is still hope.[*]All applicable regulatory guidances mandate that the study is designed for a certain – high – power (

*i.e.*, 80–90%). Quoting the guideline “Statistical Principles for Clinical Trials” of the International Council for Harmonisation:*The number of subjects in a clinical trial should always be large enough to provide a reliable answer to the questions addressed.*

*although*the products*are*BE. Including more volunteers in order to decrease the chance of failing (*e.g.*, below 10%) likely will not be accepted by the ethics committee / the institutional review board.[*]If the true \(\small{\textrm{T}/\textrm{R}}\)-ratio would be 80% or 125%, even a study with the entire population of our lovely planet will fail to show BE since the lower (or upper) confidence limit would be outside the AR.

[*]Davit BM, Nwakama PE, Buehler GJ, Conner DP, Haidar SH, Patel DT, Yang Y, Yu LX, Woodcock J.

*Comparing Generic and Innovator Drugs: A Review of 12 Years of Bioequivalence Data from the United States Food and Drug Administration.*Ann Pharmacother. 2009; 43(10): 1583–97. doi:10.1345/aph.1M141. PMID 19776300.[*]Dunne SS, Dunne CP.

*What do people really think of generic medicines? A systematic review and critical appraisal of literature on stakeholder perceptions of generic drugs.*BMC Medicine. 2015; 13:173. doi:10.1186/s12916-015-0415-3. PMID 26224091. Open access.[*]The Phase III study of the first statin (simvastatin) was performed in thousands (‼) of patients. Such a high number was required to demonstrate superiority to a low-cholesterol diet; the study took 5½ years. Can you imagine how many patients would be required to show a

*difference*between two products of ≤20%? Maybe 12,000 and the study would take ages to complete.BTW, Phase III studies of two COVID-19 vaccine candidates started in 30,000 volunteers each…[/list]

—

Helmut Schütz

The quality of responses received is directly proportional to the quality of the question asked. 🚮

Science Quotes

*Dif-tor heh smusma*🖖🏼 Довге життя Україна!_{}Helmut Schütz

The quality of responses received is directly proportional to the quality of the question asked. 🚮

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### Complete thread:

- [email protected]: COVID-19 ☣️ Helmut 2020-04-20 14:15 [Software]
- [email protected]: COVID-19 ☣️ jag009 2020-04-23 05:45
- [email protected]: COVID-19 ☣️ Helmut 2020-04-23 09:34
- [email protected]: COVID-19 ☣️ jag009 2020-04-24 07:51

- [email protected]: COVID-19 ☣️ Helmut 2020-04-23 09:34
- [email protected]: COVID-19 ☣️ Zoey 2020-07-23 11:30

- [email protected]: COVID-19 ☣️ jag009 2020-04-23 05:45