Banana splits [Two-Stage / GS Designs]
Hi Dan,
plots from my garbage-collection about asymmetric splits of αadj. GMR 0.95, target power 80%. Stage 1 sample sizes 12–72 and CVs 10–80%; both assessed with a step size of two. 106 sim’s for the Type I Error and 105 for power.
![[image]](img/uploaded/image305.png)
![[image]](img/uploaded/image306.png)
![[image]](img/uploaded/image307.png)
![[image]](img/uploaded/image308.png)
![[image]](img/uploaded/image309.png)
![[image]](img/uploaded/image310.png)
With Haybittle/Peto the TIE may hit all over the place; O’Brien/Fleming performs slightly better. Zheng et al. is overly conservative.
Note that these adjustments are applicable to a GMR of 0.95 and target power of 80% only. More deviation of the GMR from unity and/or higher target power generally requires more adjustment (i.e., lower α2 ⇒ wider CI). I know some people using HP for a GMR of 0.90.
plots from my garbage-collection about asymmetric splits of αadj. GMR 0.95, target power 80%. Stage 1 sample sizes 12–72 and CVs 10–80%; both assessed with a step size of two. 106 sim’s for the Type I Error and 105 for power.
- Left panels: TIE
Contour lines at 0.0025. Thick lines enclose the area of significant inflation of the TIE (i.e., >0.05036). Yellow circle location of TIEmax. Gray plane at nominal (target) α 0.05.
- Right panels: Power
Lower surface stage 1 and upper surface in the final stage. Contour lines and gray plane at target power 80%.
Haybittle/Peto: misused 0.001/0.049 (CIs 99.80/90.20%)
TIEmax 0.0585 (at n1 12, CV 24%)
![[image]](img/uploaded/image305.png)
Haybittle/Peto: adjusted 0.001/0.0413 (CIs 99.80/91.74%)
TIEmax 0.0499 (at n1 12, CV 22%)
![[image]](img/uploaded/image306.png)
O’Brien/Fleming: misused 0.005/0.048 (CIs 99.00/90.40%)
TIEmax 0.0570 (at n1 12, CV 24%)
![[image]](img/uploaded/image307.png)
O’Brien/Fleming: adjusted 0.005/0.0416 (CIs 99.00/91.68%)
TIEmax 0.0501 (at n1 12, CV 24%)
![[image]](img/uploaded/image308.png)
Zheng et al.: 0.01/0.04 (CIs 98.00/92.00%)
TIEmax 0.0488 (at n1 12, CV 24%)
![[image]](img/uploaded/image309.png)
Zheng et al.: adjusted 0.01/0.0412 (CIs 98.00/91.76%)
TIEmax 0.0498 (at n1 12, CV 26%)
![[image]](img/uploaded/image310.png)
With Haybittle/Peto the TIE may hit all over the place; O’Brien/Fleming performs slightly better. Zheng et al. is overly conservative.
Note that these adjustments are applicable to a GMR of 0.95 and target power of 80% only. More deviation of the GMR from unity and/or higher target power generally requires more adjustment (i.e., lower α2 ⇒ wider CI). I know some people using HP for a GMR of 0.90.

—
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Helmut Schütz
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Science Quotes
Dif-tor heh smusma 🖖🏼 Довге життя Україна!
![[image]](https://static.bebac.at/pics/Blue_and_yellow_ribbon_UA.png)
Helmut Schütz
![[image]](https://static.bebac.at/img/CC by.png)
The quality of responses received is directly proportional to the quality of the question asked. 🚮
Science Quotes
Complete thread:
- Does unequal alpha distribution make sense? Dr_Dan 2015-05-19 08:29 [Two-Stage / GS Designs]
- Maybe; but watch the TIE! Helmut 2015-05-28 15:04
- Advantages d_labes 2015-06-05 09:35
- Advantages ElMaestro 2015-06-05 10:07
- Advantages – performance measure d_labes 2015-06-05 11:21
- Advantages – performance measure Helmut 2015-06-05 13:29
- Advantages – performance measure d_labes 2015-06-05 21:27
- Advantages – performance measure Helmut 2015-06-05 23:29
- Histogram wonder d_labes 2015-06-06 12:58
- Histogram charlatanry Helmut 2015-06-09 13:43
- Histogram beauty d_labes 2015-06-09 14:55
- Histogram beast Helmut 2015-06-09 15:24
- Histogram beauty d_labes 2015-06-09 14:55
- Histogram charlatanry Helmut 2015-06-09 13:43
- Histogram wonder d_labes 2015-06-06 12:58
- Advantages – performance measure Helmut 2015-06-05 23:29
- Advantages – performance measure d_labes 2015-06-05 21:27
- Advantages – performance measure Helmut 2015-06-05 13:29
- Advantages – performance measure d_labes 2015-06-05 11:21
- Advantages ElMaestro 2015-06-05 10:07
- Advantages d_labes 2015-06-05 09:35
- Does unequal alpha distribution make sense? Dr_Dan 2015-05-29 08:33
- Does unequal alpha distribution make sense? ElMaestro 2015-05-29 09:31
- Does unequal alpha distribution make sense? nobody 2015-05-29 12:56
- Old beliefs die hard Helmut 2015-05-29 13:27
- Old beliefs die hard nobody 2015-05-29 13:41
- Old beliefs die hard Helmut 2015-05-29 18:08
- Old beliefs die hard ElMaestro 2015-05-29 18:57
- Old beliefs die hard nobody 2015-05-29 20:06
- ♩ ♪♫♬`·.¸¸.·´`·.¸¸. Helmut 2015-06-02 01:52
- TSD only an option in exceptional cases Dr_Dan 2015-06-02 08:00
- TSD only an option in exceptional cases nobody 2015-06-02 09:23
- TSD only an option in exceptional cases Dr_Dan 2015-06-02 08:00
- Old beliefs die hard ElMaestro 2015-05-29 18:57
- Old beliefs die hard Helmut 2015-05-29 18:08
- Old beliefs die hard nobody 2015-05-29 13:41
- Old beliefs die hard Helmut 2015-05-29 13:27
- Does unequal alpha distribution make sense? nobody 2015-05-29 12:56
- Does unequal alpha distribution make sense? ElMaestro 2015-05-29 09:31
- Banana splitsHelmut 2015-06-02 00:48
- Maybe; but watch the TIE! Helmut 2015-05-28 15:04