2-stage design - power evaluation [Two-Stage / GS Designs]

posted by d_labes  – Berlin, Germany, 2011-10-12 13:10 (4947 d 11:01 ago) – Posting: # 7474
Views: 20,453

Dear All!

In this thread I had already raised some questions concerning the decision scheme according to Potvin Method B if one is willing to use "unsymmetrical" nominal alpha values, f.i. according to O'Brian-Fleming alpha1=0.005 and alpha2=0.048.

Now sitting here and wondering again especially about the power check step.As you see from these questions I'm very unsure. But meanwhile had arrived at the following (O'Brian-Fleming alphas):
  Evaluate BE at stage 1
  at alpha=alpha1=0.005
      ↓              ↓
if BE met:       if BE not met:
stop: success    Evaluate power with alpha2=0.048
                 at GMR=0.95
                     ↓                    ↓
                if power>80%           if power<80%
                Evaluate BE at stage1  Calculate sample size nest with GMR=0.95
                with alpha2=0.048      alpha2=0.048 and variance from stage1
                     ↓                    ↓
                stop: success          continue to stage 2 with n2=nest-n1 subjects
                      or fail          evaluate after stage 2 with alpha2=0.048
                                       using data from both stages
                                       success or fail

Any opinions about that?

Bonus question: Do you have an idea how decision scheme C should read?

More questions arise if the point estimator of stage 1 has to be taken into consideration. But that's another story.

Regards,

Detlew

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