Two stage design; Bonferroni [Regulatives / Guidelines]

posted by Helmut Homepage – Vienna, Austria, 2009-05-20 15:19 (6250 d 04:12 ago) – Posting: # 3716
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Dear KR!

❝ In EMEA guideline for two-stage design it is written that alpha is to be conserved.


... In EMEA draft guideline ... ;-)

❝ But nothing is clearly stated about CI (confidence interval). Will level of CI vary as per alpha


Yes, since the confidence interval is given by 1 – 2α.

❝ i.e. if we use Bonferroni's alpha spending function …


Some people say that Bonferroni is always the most conservative method (even in a stagewise procedure / no independent tests). No qualified opinion.

❝ … then do we need to estimate 95% CI for stage 1 and 90% for final analysis.


No. The overall α must be preserved at ≤0.05. For a two-stage sequential design Potvin et. al (2008) suggested α=0.0294 (according to Pocock’s method).For the reference and a flowchart see this post.
I would expect EMEA to give more details in the final guideline.

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