beman
☆    

2012-03-12 15:23
(5222 d 04:59 ago)

Posting: # 8250
Views: 7,652
 

 5x5-crossover study with 12 subjects - sequences [Regulatives / Guidelines]

Dear all,

i try to generate sequences for a 5x5-crossover study including 12 subjects.

Using Wiliams-Desing i need 10 sequences, but i have only 12 subjects, so it is not possible to have a balanced design.

Do you have any idea how to solve the problem ? Using 4 or 5 sequences with the disadvantage of an unblanced design ? How can i minimize the disadvantage ?

Thank you

Best regards

beman
ElMaestro
★★★

Denmark,
2012-03-12 15:55
(5222 d 04:28 ago)

@ beman
Posting: # 8251
Views: 6,899
 

 5x5-crossover study with 12 subjects - sequences

Hi beman,

❝ i try to generate sequences for a 5x5-crossover study including 12 subjects.


Sorry that I am not answering directly, but this doesn't sound great to me. Could you tell a little (I mean a lot!) about the background: What are you trying to achieve with the study, and why?

Pass or fail!
ElMaestro
Dr_Dan
★★  

Germany,
2012-03-12 16:25
(5222 d 03:57 ago)

@ beman
Posting: # 8252
Views: 6,908
 

 5x5-crossover study with 12 subjects - sequences

Hi beman,
12 subjects and five periods and you are convinced that you will have no drop out? I fear that there are too many questions that should be answered with just one study. At the end of the day you will waste more money than you could save with your 5x5-crossover study. I guess you need patients and it will not be possible to conduct this study in healthy volunteers, right? To suggest a reasonable study design we would need more information.
Kind regards
Dan

Kind regards and have a nice day
Dr_Dan
beman
☆    

2012-03-12 16:38
(5222 d 03:44 ago)

@ Dr_Dan
Posting: # 8254
Views: 6,884
 

 5x5-crossover study with 12 subjects - sequences

really fast response, thank you.

To clarify Study-Design:
12 subjects, reason: pilot study,
5x5 crossover, reason: dose proportionality with 5 different treatments
Drop-Out-Handling: maybe 2 additional subjects (12 + 2 = 14 subjects) instead of replacement to save time

According to the EMA-Guideline: +/- 25 % criteria (no CI's and no ANOVA required)

Thanks

Beman
Dr_Dan
★★  

Germany,
2012-03-13 11:59
(5221 d 08:24 ago)

@ beman
Posting: # 8258
Views: 6,872
 

 5x5-crossover study with 12 subjects - sequences

Hi Beman
If you have a formulation with 5 different strengths and you want to assess dose proportionality would it not be sufficient to test the highest, the lowest and one strength in between? Then you will have a 3x3 crossover and this will work with 12 subjects.
Kind regards
Dan

Kind regards and have a nice day
Dr_Dan
Helmut
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Vienna, Austria,
2012-03-12 23:31
(5221 d 20:52 ago)

@ beman
Posting: # 8255
Views: 6,946
 

 5x5-crossover study with 12 subjects - sequences

Dear beman!

❝ i try to generate sequences for a 5x5-crossover study including 12 subjects.


❝ Using Wiliams-Desing i need 10 sequences, but i have only 12 subjects, so it is not possible to have a balanced design.


I’m traveling, so I’m referring to my (bad) memory. If I recall it correctly Jones & Kenward* stated that it’s not possible to construct a fully variance balanced Williams’ design with five treatments. They give only an example of an ‘almost balanced one’. Can you post the sequences you have in mind and a reference?

❝ Do you have any idea how to solve the problem ? Using 4 or 5 sequences with the disadvantage of an unblanced design ? How can i minimize the disadvantage ?


It’s not a good idea to already start with an imbalanced design. Drop-outs will do that for you anyway. If ten sequences are enough (which I doubt) and you start the study with 12 (or 14) subjects it might well be that you are missing some sequences entirely. Might play havoc with the model (running out of degrees of free­dom). Give it a try: Fire up a random number generator and check whether the model collapses or not. Hint: TR|RT → TR (only 1 sequence left). Does it work or not?

What you could do is some variant of an incomplete block design (also saving periods). But these designs are less powerful.


  • Jones B and MG Kenward
    Design and Analysis of Cross-Over Trials
    Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, Chapter 4 (2nd ed. 2003)

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d_labes
★★★

Berlin, Germany,
2012-03-13 11:32
(5221 d 08:51 ago)

@ Helmut
Posting: # 8257
Views: 6,994
 

 12

Dear Helmut, dear beman!

Let me throw in my two cents.

❝ ❝ Using Wiliams-Desing i need 10 sequences, but i have only 12 subjects, so it is not possible to have a balanced design.


Right, but: The Williams design with the additional balance that each treatment precedes each other the same number is only 'optimal' if some sort of carry-over is incorporated in the analysis model, namely first order carry-over. If not it not necessary to have such a design.
First order carry-over is criticised by Senn (1). If one follows his reasoning it is superflous. Additionally the EMA guidances recommends us not to statistically test for carry-over.

Thus I would suggest you to go with any Latin square for 5 treatments.

❝ I’m traveling, so I’m referring to my (bad) memory. If I recall it correctly Jones & Kenward1 stated that it’s not possible to construct a fully variance balanced Williams’ design with five treatments.


Right recall but only for a single 5x5 Latin square. Chapter 4.2 "... As already noted earlier, for odd t no single sequentially counterbalanced square exists for t = 3, 5 and 7, although single squares have been found by computer search for t = 9, 15, 21 and 27 ..."
(sequentially counterbalanced square = Williams)

@beman: The example mentioned by Helmut of an ‘almost balanced one’ (in the sense of balancedness of Williams design) is
Subj.  Period
      1 2 3 4 5
  1   A B C D E
  2   B D E C A
  3   C E B A D
  4   D C A E B
  5   E A D B C

a good candidate for a 5x5 Latin square, I think.

❝ It’s not a good idea to already start with an imbalanced design. Drop-outs will do that for you anyway.


Full ACK.
The number of subjects = 12 is not a "carved in stone number" (© by Helmut) for pilot studies also it is used often, regardless if appropriate.
Thus choose 15 to have a 'balanced' design if using 5 sequences.

❝ What you could do is some variant of an incomplete block design (also saving periods)...


@BEman
See literature (2) for that suggestion of Helmut.
I think for a pilot study with more or less "proof of concept" character (whatever concept here means :-D) the lower power of those designs don't matter.


(1)S. Senn
Cross-over Trials in Clinical Research
John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, pp162-163 (2nd ed. 2002)
Chapter 10

(2)S-C Chow and J-P Liu
Design and Analysis of Bioavailability and Bioequivalence Studies
Chapman & Hall / CRC, Boca Raton, 3rd Ed. (2009)
Chapter 2.5.5

Regards,

Detlew
ElMaestro
★★★

Denmark,
2012-03-13 12:47
(5221 d 07:35 ago)

@ Helmut
Posting: # 8259
Views: 6,957
 

 5x5-crossover study with 12 subjects - sequences

Dear HS and d_labes,

aren't you guys now making a big theoretical problem of a small practical one??

This is simply an assessment of proportionality on basis of the 25% rule and without all the fancy stuff an ANOVA entails.

I honestly believe that the design suggested by beman, even though there is imbalance, can help shed light over possible dose linearity/proportionaly. Imbalance, as I see it, no doubt plays a role -sometimes even an obscure one; just think of the discussions about relevance of LSMeans vs Means- when you apply models and ANOVAs.

Further, much of the info about linearity in current EU SPCs and US Prescr infos are based on simply descriptive stats from designs with parallel groups or xo.

To me, the issue here is the risk of dropouts.

Pass or fail!
ElMaestro
d_labes
★★★

Berlin, Germany,
2012-03-13 14:08
(5221 d 06:14 ago)

@ ElMaestro
Posting: # 8261
Views: 6,847
 

 Questions over questions

My dear Ol' pirate,

don't get your point.

Why do you favour a Williams design (balanced or not) BEman has in mind over a simpler Latin square design as I suggested or a much simpler incomplete block design with less periods than treatments which Helmut suggested as one possibility, which BTW addresses your concern "the risk of dropouts"?

Why do you think this is a "... big theoretical problem ..."? Because its more unusual and lesser known then what's called Williams design everybody who had some notation of BE studies can spell correctly?

Why even a cross-over at all if

❝ much of the info about linearity in current EU SPCs and US Prescr infos are based on simply descriptive stats from designs with parallel groups or xo.


Take 5 groups with 3 subjects each (makes 15 in total :cool:) treat them with the 5 doses and make your assessment of dose linearity via descriptive stats? Is this what you have in mind?
Downright silly if two subjects from the same group drop out :-D.

Regards,

Detlew
ElMaestro
★★★

Denmark,
2012-03-13 14:26
(5221 d 05:56 ago)

@ d_labes
Posting: # 8264
Views: 6,812
 

 ok then lemme explain

Dear d_labes,

now assume beman goes ahead with this study and he collects a bunch of data.
Subjects are dosed once with each treatment, so the logic that applies in 2,2,2-BE studies applies here as well, implying that we ignore the little issue of potentially correlated residuals due to intra-subject phenomena (subject as fixed, linear model).

Bottomline, from each subject we will have five (we hope) measurements, a period coding, a sequence coding, and a dose level coding. PROC GLM does the trick and yes we can throw sequence and period into the pot if we wish. We get LSMeans for all five treatment levels or just plain means. No big deal, but it should of course be specified in the protocol which one to use. And if someone makes a big fuss about using LSMeans or worries about imbalance then we just throw a little quote from the SAS manual back at them:
"(...)LS-means are, in effect, within-group means appropriately adjusted for the other effects in the model. More precisely, they estimate the marginal means for a balanced population(...)."

We can even beef the entire thing up with PROC MIXED to allow for intra-subject correlations and issues surrounding dropouts, I guess. In that case we will not have LSMeans but maximum likelihood effects extractable from the model's b-vector.

But having said that, I would also like to say that Dr_Dan's idea of just using three levels (lowest, middle, highest) also appeals a lot to me.

Pass or fail!
ElMaestro
d_labes
★★★

Berlin, Germany,
2012-03-13 16:03
(5221 d 04:20 ago)

@ ElMaestro
Posting: # 8265
Views: 6,781
 

 ok then lemme explain

Dear EM,

good and elaborate answer to a not asked question :cool:.

Regards,

Detlew
ElMaestro
★★★

Denmark,
2012-03-13 16:45
(5221 d 03:37 ago)

@ d_labes
Posting: # 8266
Views: 6,891
 

 Questions over questions

Dear d_labes,

ok then I will try and answer again more directly:

❝ Why do you favour a Williams design (balanced or not) BEman has in mind over a simpler Latin square design as I suggested or a much simpler incomplete block design with less periods than treatments which Helmut suggested as one possibility, which BTW addresses your concern "the risk of dropouts"?


I don't favour anything but practical solutions. There is nothing wrong with your suggestion, as I see it, as long as this does not become a discussion about avoiding imbalance or other stuff.

❝ Why do you think this is a "... big theoretical problem ..."? Because its more unusual and lesser known then what's called Williams design everybody who had some notation of BE studies can spell correctly?


I don't think it is a big theoretical problem; in fact I think the problems in the thread are of a more practical nature.

❝ Why even a cross-over at all if

❝ ❝ much of the info about linearity in current EU SPCs and US Prescr infos are based on simply descriptive stats from designs with parallel groups or xo.


Parallel would require 60 patients and most BE clinics cannot handle that in one go. 12, 16, 18 are typical magic numbers. 5 periods with 12 people is doable at most clinics. Besides, if I recall correctly, it is often cheaper to pay 12 subjects five periods each than to pay 60 subjects one period each. But I could be wrong here, as I often am.

❝ Take 5 groups with 3 subjects each (makes 15 in total :cool:) treat them with the 5 doses and make your assessment of dose linearity via descriptive stats? Is this what you have in mind?

❝ Downright silly if two subjects from the same group drop out :-D.


Thank you for this compliment :-D. We agree. Dropout risks is a worry.
If there's a budget for 15 subjects then that's even better than 12, all other factors equal (no pun intended). Latin, Williams etc is simply not part of my consideration - in the grand scheme of things the whole theoretical discussion about imbalance and such is very low on my list of concerns.
Generate the data as best as you can, analyse them as best as you can. At the time the generic company enters the field they are applying mtethods that are likely to be 10 years newer and 10 times better than the methods applied by the originator and used for writing the SPC and prescr. info anyways. That in itself is also a kind of progress, even when the methodology has certain theoretical drawbacks.

Pass or fail!
ElMaestro
beman
☆    

2012-03-13 14:12
(5221 d 06:10 ago)

@ ElMaestro
Posting: # 8262
Views: 6,844
 

 5x5-crossover study with 12 subjects - sequences

First of all: thank you all for your response

@Elmaestro: you wrote down ecactly my thoughts.

@Dr_Dan: 5x5, because sponsor have some reason for that. 3x3 is in that case not possible

@HS:
10 Sequences are suficient to reach first-order balcaned design. Usually /Often carry-over effect result in predose-values >LLOQ. Wash-out phase is choosen long enough.

10 sequences:

0 1 4 2 3
1 2 0 3 4
2 3 1 4 0
3 4 2 0 1
4 0 3 1 2
3 2 4 1 0
4 3 0 2 1
0 4 1 3 2
1 0 2 4 3
2 1 3 0 4

@d_labes:

your 5x5 latin square, combined with 15 subjects would fit to, if we assume, that there is no carry-over effect. But i am not shure, which of these both approaches (5 vs. 10) sequences is the better one.
beman
☆    

2012-03-13 14:25
(5221 d 05:58 ago)

(edited on 2012-03-13 16:36)
@ Helmut
Posting: # 8263
Views: 6,852
 

 5x5-crossover study with 12 subjects - sequences

thanks, i remember that one exemplar of the 'Jones B and MG Kenward' is two steps left from me. Now it is 'opened' in front of me.


I decided to use a 5 sequence design (Russels Nearly Balanced Latin Square Design, page 162 of Jones/Kenward) with 15 subjects, which are same sequences like d_labels sequences. In both approaches the design is only nearly balanced and i can perform more additional statistics than with the 5 sequence approach.

Thanks

BEman


Edit: Two posts merged. [Helmut]
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