ElMaestro
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Denmark,
2013-08-12 21:54
(4292 d 19:25 ago)

Posting: # 11264
Views: 11,516
 

 3-per, 2-trt designs and estimation of intra-subj. variance [RSABE / ABEL]

Hi all,


I think it sounds fully plausible and intuitive to say that intrasubject variabilities for Test products cannot be estimated in TRR/RTR/RRT xover designs. We do not have replication of Test and this is the principal argument.

But is that really a reflection of the facts?

Well, due to the replication of Ref we can estimate s2wR as well as s2b, with w being 'within' and b being 'between'. I think it can be argued that in a crossover it makes no sense to discuss different betweens-variances between treatments.
Now, the variance of the observations done on test will be s2wT + s2b - this is what we will have on the diagonal of the covariance matrix V.
So, we can definitely estimate the sum (s2wT + s2b), and since the ref. replication allows us to get s2b, I see no reason why we cannot estimate the elusive s2wT.

Try to think about it without just blindly referencing what a guideline says.
Now butcher me, please. :pirate:


Edit: Category changed. [Helmut]

Pass or fail!
ElMaestro
Dr_Dan
★★  

Germany,
2013-08-13 12:11
(4292 d 05:08 ago)

@ ElMaestro
Posting: # 11265
Views: 10,227
 

 3-per, 2-trt designs and estimation of intra-subj. variance

Hi ElMaestro
Interesting considerations. However, I do not see the advantage of a TRR/RTR/RRT xover design. What do you think about TRT vs RTR? In this case you also have a 3-per, 2-trt design but you can estimate the intrasubject variability for the Test product, right?
Kind regards
Dan

Kind regards and have a nice day
Dr_Dan
ElMaestro
★★★

Denmark,
2013-08-13 17:00
(4292 d 00:19 ago)

@ Dr_Dan
Posting: # 11270
Views: 10,189
 

 3-per, 2-trt designs and estimation of intra-subj. variance

Hi Dr_Dan,

yes, RTR/TRT designs sound like a good concept. I'd be happy enough with that type of design. I think I will propose it next time I write a sc. advice briefing book. :ok:

Pass or fail!
ElMaestro
Helmut
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Vienna, Austria,
2013-08-13 20:23
(4291 d 20:56 ago)

@ ElMaestro
Posting: # 11271
Views: 10,214
 

 TRT|RTR rulez!

Hi ElMaestro!

I’m recommending this goodie for years. :cool:
BTW, if you like a reference that’s a design the two Lászlós used in some of their papers / simulations.

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d_labes
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Berlin, Germany,
2013-08-14 10:16
(4291 d 07:03 ago)

@ Helmut
Posting: # 11275
Views: 10,097
 

 TRT|RTR rulez? Really?

Dear Dan, ElMaestro and Helmut!

Rulez? Really?
Read chapter 9.3 of Chow and Liu, especially 9.3.4 "Assessment of Intra-Subject Variabilities". And if you have, read it again.

For me the consequence of this chapter is: While it is true that this design has the advantage of allowing the separate estimation of the intra-subject variabilities of Reference and Test, there is no valid way to evaluate T versus R in case of heteroscedasticity. And this renders the advantage useless.

A valid evaluation with GLM-ANOVA or even with intra-subject contrasts, which in other replicate designs is able to deal with different variabilities, has to assume s2wT=s2wR.

If this is also the case for evaluation via mixed model software is left for discussion. But at least in the EMA jurisdiction doesn't allow for it if we take the Q&A literally and translate 'not recommended' into 'not allowed'.

❝ BTW, if you like a reference that’s a design the two Lászlós used in some of their papers / simulations.


Which one do you mean?

Regards,

Detlew
ElMaestro
★★★

Denmark,
2013-08-14 13:29
(4291 d 03:50 ago)

@ d_labes
Posting: # 11278
Views: 10,198
 

 TRT|RTR rulez? Really? Yes.

Hi d_labes,

❝ Read chapter 9.3 of Chow and Liu, especially 9.3.4 "Assessment of Intra-Subject Variabilities". And if you have, read it again.


how was the birthday? Me and 17 friends thought of partycrashing at your home but due to an unfortunate event recently involving twenty ostriches, a nuclear power station and a barrel of rum we decided against it.

I don't really get all the points of C&L. If any :-D

❝ (...) there is no valid way to evaluate T versus R in case of heteroscedasticity. And this renders the advantage useless.


Can you explain me why in words that are adapted to people with walnut-sized brains such as myself?

❝ A valid evaluation with GLM-ANOVA or even with intra-subject contrasts, which in other replicate designs is able to deal with different variabilities, has to assume s2wT=s2wR.


I am quite sure that it is possible to make GLM work ad modum EMA's recent adventures with fixed effects, by tampering a bit with the data sets and factor inclusions, allowing extractions of individual variances.

Anways, we are now digressing from the original topic. To which I'd still appreciate some responses. :-D

Pass or fail!
ElMaestro
d_labes
★★★

Berlin, Germany,
2013-08-14 15:34
(4291 d 01:45 ago)

@ ElMaestro
Posting: # 11284
Views: 10,104
 

 TRT|RTR rulez? Really? No.

Dear Öberster größter Meister,

❝ ❝ Read chapter 9.3 of Chow and Liu, especially 9.3.4 "Assessment of Intra-Subject Variabilities". And if you have, read it again.

❝ ...

❝ I don't really get all the points of C&L. If any :-D


Did you follow my advice? Read again? If yes, read again. If no, don't worry longer about that issue :-D.

❝ ❝ (...) there is no valid way to evaluate T versus R in case of heteroscedasticity. And this renders the advantage useless.


❝ Can you explain me why in words that are adapted to people with walnut-sized brains such as myself?


An initiated must speak in words that are not understandable by ordinary people, not to mention people with walnut-sized brains :cool:.
The key is hidden in Formulas 9.3.21 and 9.3.22 showing that the expected variances of the sequence groups TRT and RTR are not the same. Thus you can't pool them without the danger of too liberal or too conservative results after doing so. You had to use a method which accounts for this heteroscedasticity. AFAIK there is no in the context we discuss here, except eventually a real mixed model analysis.

Regards,

Detlew
ElMaestro
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Denmark,
2013-08-14 16:25
(4291 d 00:54 ago)

@ d_labes
Posting: # 11286
Views: 10,146
 

 TRT|RTR rulez? Really? No.

Dear d_labes,

❝ The key is hidden in Formulas 9.3.21 and 9.3.22 showing that the expected variances of the sequence groups TRT and RTR are not the same. Thus you can't pool them without the danger of too liberal or too conservative results after doing so. You had to use a method which accounts for this heteroscedasticity. AFAIK there is no in the context we discuss here, except eventually a real mixed model analysis.


Thank you.
Yes, I realise that the error variance in TRT and RTR can differ but does that leave us really helpless? From the two sequences we get two equations with two unknowns -eqn. 9.3.21- from which we can solve explicitly for s2wR and s2wT. We could plug those into 9.2.17 and get 90% CI's.
Am I overlooking something?

Pass or fail!
ElMaestro
d_labes
★★★

Berlin, Germany,
2013-08-14 18:35
(4290 d 22:44 ago)

@ ElMaestro
Posting: # 11287
Views: 10,094
 

 TRT|RTR Lost in formulas.

Dear EM,

❝ Am I overlooking something?


Duno. Lost in formulas.
But if it were that easy I think C&L would have described this.

Regards,

Detlew
Helmut
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Vienna, Austria,
2013-08-14 15:44
(4291 d 01:35 ago)

@ d_labes
Posting: # 11285
Views: 10,217
 

 TRT|RTR rulez? References

Dear Detlew!

❝ Rulez? Really?

❝ Read chapter 9.3 of Chow and Liu, especially 9.3.4 "Assessment of Intra-Subject Variabilities". And if you have, read it again.


Ok, promised.

❝ ❝ BTW, if you like a reference that’s a design the two Lászlós used in some of their papers / simulations.


❝ Which one do you mean?


Likely all of them. I guess they started with simulations in 20011,2 (only 2- and 4-period studies) and referred back to these papers in all followings. In 20073 László Tóthfalusi recommended TRTR|RTRT and TRT|RTR. Interesting enough no details were given until 20094:

“The power curves were obtained by simulating 10 000 three-period bioequivalence trials with a design of TRT/RTR and 36 subjects.”



  1. Tóthfalusi L, Endrényi L, Midha KK, Rawson MJ, Hubbard JW. Evaluation of the Bioequivalence of Highly-Variable Drugs and Drug Products. Pharm Res. 2001;18(6):728–33.
  2. Tóthfalusi L, Endrényi L. Limits for the Scaled Average Bioequivalence of Highly Variable Drugs and Drug Products. Pharm Res. 2003;20(3):382–9.
  3. L Tóthfalusi L. Scaled Average Bioequivalence to Evaluate Bioequivalence of Highly Variable Drugs. Presentation at the informa conference “Dissolution Testing, Bioavailability & Bioequivalance”, 24 May 2007, Budapest, Hungary
  4. Tóthfalusi L, Endrényi L, García-Arieta A. Evaluation of Bioequivalence for Highly Variable Drugs with Scaled Average Bioequivalence. Clin Pharmacokinet. 2009;48(11):725–43. doi 10.2165/11318040-000000000-00000

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d_labes
★★★

Berlin, Germany,
2013-08-14 21:12
(4290 d 20:07 ago)

@ Helmut
Posting: # 11288
Views: 10,081
 

 References László & László

Dear Helmut!

❝ Likely all of them ...


Thank you for the excellent history. I must confess that I had overlooked up to now this detail of the papers of the two Lászlós. In my mind I had remembered only 2x2 and 2x2x4 designs.
But always they have mainly simulated under the assumption CVwT=CVwR, I think. Right?

Meanwhile I have some sims underway which (hopefully) will underpin my criticism of the TRT/RTR design.

Have a nice evening :party:.

Regards,

Detlew
Helmut
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Vienna, Austria,
2013-08-17 19:33
(4287 d 21:46 ago)

@ d_labes
Posting: # 11300
Views: 9,998
 

 Heteroscedasticity

Dear Detlew!

❝ But always they have mainly simulated under the assumption CVwT=CVwR, I think. Right?


Duno, but I think so as well.

❝ Meanwhile I have some sims underway which (hopefully) will underpin my criticism of the TRT/RTR design.


Kudos for your pioneering work on exploring heteroscedasticity. :-D

Overall I must confess that I’m a little bit lost. What do we gain from the overspecified partial replicate, if in some cases our softwares’ implementation of (in)famous FDA’s code does not converge, yield different results, or we have to retreat to strange workarounds?

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d_labes
★★★

Berlin, Germany,
2013-08-29 18:45
(4275 d 22:34 ago)

(edited on 2013-08-30 09:23)
@ Helmut
Posting: # 11387
Views: 10,300
 

 Heteroscedasticity: TRT|RTR rulez!

Dear Helmut! Dear All!

❝ ❝ Meanwhile I have some sims underway which (hopefully) will underpin my criticism of the TRT/RTR design.


❝ Kudos for your pioneering work on exploring heteroscedasticity. :-D


Thanks for the praise in advance. Let's see if I'm worth the "Vorschuss-Lorbeeren".

Going the long walk and simulating ABE type I error for the 3-period design with the sequences TRT and RTR via subject data sims (1 value after ~24 h!) I was more and more frustrated: No alpha-inflation, no too conservative alphas far and wide! Although the Oracle Chow&Liu had forecasted their certain occurrence!

But finally arriving in the green realms of FDA/ISC I got the following, resorting to heavy imbalance (forgot my Schützomycin dose :-D):

CVwT  CVwR   n1   n2   EMA     FDA
                       ANOVA   ISC
---------------------------------------
0.5   0.2   18   18   0.0509   0.0496*   
            21   15   0.0509   0.0559*
            15   21   0.0507   0.0430*
            24   24   0.0505   
---------------------------------------
0.5   0.3   18   18   0.0503   0.0502
            19   17            0.0516
            21   15   0.0502   0.0541
            15   21   0.0503   0.0459
---------------------------------------
0.2   0.5   18   18   0.0509   
            21   15   0.0511   
            15   21   0.0506      
            24   24   0.0505   
---------------------------------------
0.3   0.5   18   18   0.0505   0.0504
            19   17            0.0490
            21   15   0.0505   0.0469
            15   21   0.0503   0.0542
---------------------------------------
n1 = n(TRT), n2 = n(RTR)
1E6 sims, *1E5 sims only


There is no hint of an alpha-inflation or too conservative alpha values if one uses the EMA recommended evaluation (same ANOVA as for the classical 2x2x2 crossover), regardless of grade of heteroscedasticity and unbalancedness analyzed!

The evaluation via intra-subject contrasts also do not show noticeable deviations from the nominal level 0.05 as long as the design is balanced or only slightly unbalanced.
Alpha-inflation or too conservative type I error values are only observed if the sequence groups are strongly unbalanced.

Thus this design is much more ‘friendly’ in respect to heteroscedasticity than the 2x3x3 design in the EMA evaluation. See this post of mine.

Some simulations of power of scaled ABE show that even for heavy unbalanced designs the influence of this observed behaviour is only small.

Conclusion 1: TRT|RTR rulez! :-D
Conclusion 2: Expect an update of PowerTOST in the near future.

Regards,

Detlew
ElMaestro
★★★

Denmark,
2013-08-29 19:50
(4275 d 21:29 ago)

@ d_labes
Posting: # 11389
Views: 9,833
 

 Heteroscedasticity: TRT|RTR rulez!

Hi d_labes,

❝ The evaluation via intra-subject contrasts also do not show noticeable deviations from the nominal level 0.05 as long as the design is balanced or only slightly unbalanced.


Am still trying to get to terms with all this.
How is the evaluation done? Which model is fitted?

Pass or fail!
ElMaestro
d_labes
★★★

Berlin, Germany,
2013-08-30 11:16
(4275 d 06:03 ago)

@ ElMaestro
Posting: # 11392
Views: 9,820
 

 Sims & evaluation

Dear ElMaestro

❝ How is the evaluation done? Which model is fitted?


EMA ANOVA:
  • Sims according to the 'all effects fixed' doctrine as discussed here.
  • Evaluation of the replicate design with the same ANOVA as for the 2x2x2 crossover. Point estimator and its 90% CI via LSMeans difference.
  • ABE decision via 90% CI's.
FDA ISC:
  • Sims with the full mixed model underlying the Proc MIXED code of the FDA. We had it already here in the forum but couln't find at the moment in the meanwhile tons of posts. For a short description see Chow&Liu Chapter 20.5.7.1.. The subject-by-treatment interaction was assumed zero.
  • Calculate appropriate intra-subject contrast to obtain individual T-R. Analyzed them by an ANOVA with sequence as the solely effect. The intercept of this ANOVA gives the point estimator T-R and its 90% CI.
  • ABE decision via the 90% CI's.

Regards,

Detlew
ElMaestro
★★★

Denmark,
2013-08-31 16:11
(4274 d 01:08 ago)

(edited on 2013-08-31 17:04)
@ d_labes
Posting: # 11398
Views: 9,889
 

 Sims & evaluation

Dear d_labes,

❝ EMA ANOVA:Sims according to the 'all effects fixed' doctrine as discussed here.

Evaluation of the replicate design with the same ANOVA as for the 2x2x2 crossover. Point estimator and its 90% CI via LSMeans difference.


OK... lemmefink....if you apply one lm (or one anova) then it must imply that you are working with one error term. Where TRT and RTR imply two different error mean squares, as you referenced earlier, I think we cannot do both TRT data and RTR data in one model if the model has only one error term. It must be either one model with (at least) two error terms (aka. mixed) or two models with one error term in order to cover both groups.

Pass or fail!
ElMaestro
d_labes
★★★

Berlin, Germany,
2013-08-31 19:20
(4273 d 21:59 ago)

@ ElMaestro
Posting: # 11399
Views: 9,752
 

 Evaluation subtleties

Dear ElMaestro,

❝ OK... lemmefink. ...

❝ Where TRT and RTR imply two different error mean squares, as you referenced earlier, I think we cannot do both TRT data and RTR data in one model if the model has only one error term.


My simulations show: Yes we can! EMA ANOVA don't show any sign of alpha inflation or too conservative type I error which one would expect if pooling is not allowed. Astonishing for me.
FDA ISC works also as long as the designs are balanced or only slightly balanced.

❝ It must be either one model with (at least) two error terms (aka. mixed) or two models with one error term in order to cover both groups.


Both nice ideas. If you have worked them out lemme know :cool:.

Regards,

Detlew
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