Numerical example [Two-Stage / GS Designs]
Dear EM,
let's take a numerical example (again the OBF alpha's alpha1=0.005, alpha2=0.048):
Imagine after stage 1 with n=24 subjects we got CV1=0.2, PE=0.90.
The (1-2*alpha1 CI) is 0.7660 ... 1.0574 if I don't make a mistake. Thus 'not BE' if we use the common acceptance range 0.8 ... 1.25.
We know the stage 1 size is higher than the necessary sample size for a one-stage design with alpha=0.05 (n=20 for this alpha, CV=0.2 and true ratio 0.95).
Using the famous
R-package PowerTOST we obtain:
In my schemes (using alpha2 for power check and/or sample size adaptation) you have to stop with stage 1. because the study is powered enough for the end alpha.
The choice to stay with the first BE evaluation with alpha1 will produce 'Not BE'. But for that alpha the power is <80%.
If you choose 'Evaluate BE with alpha2=0.048' the CI is 0.8148 ... 0.9941, i.e. 'BE shown' (except in Denmark
).
If you use alpha1 in all steps except stage 2 BE evaluation you end in an study with n=36, highly overpowered.
If you use alpha1 only in the power check step you have to re-calculate the sample size because power < 80%, but come out with nest=20 using alpha2=0.048 although you have already 24 subjects in the study. This is contradictory.
To get rid of all these curiosities I had arrived at the decision schemes mentioned in the posts above.
let's take a numerical example (again the OBF alpha's alpha1=0.005, alpha2=0.048):
Imagine after stage 1 with n=24 subjects we got CV1=0.2, PE=0.90.
The (1-2*alpha1 CI) is 0.7660 ... 1.0574 if I don't make a mistake. Thus 'not BE' if we use the common acceptance range 0.8 ... 1.25.
We know the stage 1 size is higher than the necessary sample size for a one-stage design with alpha=0.05 (n=20 for this alpha, CV=0.2 and true ratio 0.95).
Using the famous

power.TOST(alpha=0.005, CV=0.2, theta0=0.95, n=24) -> 0.5489
power.TOST(alpha=0.048, CV=0.2, theta0=0.95, n=24) -> 0.8919
sampleN.TOST(alpha=0.005,CV=0.2,theta0=0.95) -> 36
sampleN.TOST(alpha=0.048,CV=0.2,theta0=0.95) -> 20
In my schemes (using alpha2 for power check and/or sample size adaptation) you have to stop with stage 1. because the study is powered enough for the end alpha.
The choice to stay with the first BE evaluation with alpha1 will produce 'Not BE'. But for that alpha the power is <80%.
If you choose 'Evaluate BE with alpha2=0.048' the CI is 0.8148 ... 0.9941, i.e. 'BE shown' (except in Denmark

If you use alpha1 in all steps except stage 2 BE evaluation you end in an study with n=36, highly overpowered.
If you use alpha1 only in the power check step you have to re-calculate the sample size because power < 80%, but come out with nest=20 using alpha2=0.048 although you have already 24 subjects in the study. This is contradictory.
To get rid of all these curiosities I had arrived at the decision schemes mentioned in the posts above.
—
Regards,
Detlew
Regards,
Detlew
Complete thread:
- 2-stage design - power evaluation d_labes 2011-10-12 11:10
- No opinions out there? d_labes 2011-10-26 09:14
- Opinion yes, answer no ElMaestro 2011-10-26 11:15
- Decision scheme without (?) power check d_labes 2011-10-26 13:00
- Decision scheme without (?) power check ElMaestro 2011-10-26 13:20
- Decision scheme 'without' power check d_labes 2011-10-26 14:51
- Decision scheme 'without' power check ElMaestro 2011-10-26 15:24
- Numerical exampled_labes 2011-10-26 16:28
- Numerical example ElMaestro 2011-10-26 16:49
- Potvin C with unsymmetrical alphas d_labes 2011-10-27 14:54
- Potvin B, C, or D? Helmut 2011-10-27 22:52
- Two-stage (classical Pocock) and the FDA Helmut 2011-10-31 02:36
- Potvin C with unsymmetrical alphas d_labes 2011-10-27 14:54
- Numerical example ElMaestro 2011-10-26 16:49
- Numerical exampled_labes 2011-10-26 16:28
- Decision scheme 'without' power check ElMaestro 2011-10-26 15:24
- Decision scheme 'without' power check d_labes 2011-10-26 14:51
- Decision scheme without (?) power check ElMaestro 2011-10-26 13:20
- Decision scheme without (?) power check d_labes 2011-10-26 13:00
- Opinion yes, answer no ElMaestro 2011-10-26 11:15
- Weirdo paper ElMaestro 2011-11-30 18:04
- Weirdo paper Helmut 2011-11-30 23:45
- Weirdo paper ElMaestro 2011-12-01 07:16
- Weirdo paper Helmut 2011-11-30 23:45
- No opinions out there? d_labes 2011-10-26 09:14