Negative variance component – Chow/Liu [Software]

posted by ElMaestro  – Denmark, 2014-02-03 11:22 (4096 d 10:18 ago) – Posting: # 12319
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Hi Detleffff,

❝ Ways out? Just to cite Chow and Liu (without the 'hat' above the σ2):

"To avoid negative estimates a typical approach is to consider the following estimator

σ2S=max(0,σ2S)

❝ σ2e2e if MSinter≥MSintra

❝ σ2e2  if MSinter<MSintra

❝ where σ2 = (SSinter+SSintra)/(2*(n1+n2)

The above estimators are known as restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimators". End of citation.


Yes, indeed the holy scripture says so; I think much of the confusion hinges on eq.7.3.3 saying
E(Vinter)=Ve+2VS
I think I do not follow it.



When PROC MIXED or R's LME/LER fit a true MM with REML, the Al Gore Rhythm does not derive the sigmas via any of these equations but from iterartively maximising the likelihoood of the V matrix with the fixed effects. It may be that the result ends up being these same as one of the REML estimators above. But are these estimates really "maximum likelihood"-related (however restricted they are), or are they just cheap ways out of an annoying situation?? After all, the residual of an LM/GLM (traditional ANOVA) is a decomposition of the entire variability into avialable factors, so if we e.g. set Ve=V as 7.3.3 suggests on the odd occasion then I think we are solving one problem in a quick and dirty fashion and at the same time doing something that appears very dubious. I guess my confusion boils down to something like "annoying negative values aside, where's the likelihood basis behind the idea of fiddling with the model's residual which truly is some kind of maximum likelihod estimator" ?
(and if we manually tweak Ve would we then reflect that in our calc. of the CI for "likelihood" reasons?)

If or when you test with PROC MIXED, can you paste the entire co-variance matrix (not the Z or the G)? It will be the one with 14 columns if you use the dataset above; I'd expect a common sigma sq. on the diagonal and a single beween-sigma sq. elsewhere in each row.

Pass or fail!
ElMaestro

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