Give history a chance [General Statistics]
❝ Astonishing enough this is already mentioned in the 1997 FDA guidance:
Even further back in
July 1992! Well, I guess they have read Westlake (1988)[1]:Note that the carryover effect is, essentially, the sequence effect, which can be tested against the sum of squares within sequence. If this carryover effect exists, then it confounds the test on formulations. [...] My own experience with a large number of comparative bioavailability trials has led me to believe that significant carryover effects (at the 0.05 level) tend to occur in about 5% of the trials; in other words, I believe that carryover effects do not normally exist. There are several reasons why this assumption is a reasonable one. First subjects in bioavailability trials are usually normal human volunteers whose physical condition is unlikely to change radically from one period of a crossover trial to another, unlike patients whose disease state may progress during the course of even a short trial. Second, the trial usually involves only single doses of the drug formulations and is thus unlikely to result in a marked change in a subject's physical condition. Third, a washout period is scheduled between the periods of the crossover trial which allows for elimination of all drug from the system; and a direct check of the presence of drug is, of course, obtained from the zero-hour blood level. Wagner (1974)[2] has, however, raised the possibility that an unmeasured metabolite might still be present in the body and affect the biotransformation at the succeeding administration.
(my emphasis)- WJ Westlake
Bioavailability and Bioequivalence of Pharmaceutical Formulation
In: KE Peace (Ed.), Biopharmaceutical Statistics for Drug Development
Marcel Dekker, New York, p337 (1988)
- JG Wagner
Use of a Clinical Pharmacokinetics Laboratory for Bioavailability Assessment
In: G Levy (Ed.), Clinical Pharmacokinetics: A Symposium
American Pharmaceutical Association, Academy of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Washington, D.C., p154 (1974)
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Science Quotes
Complete thread:
- Is the sequence effect mandatory? vezz 2009-12-09 21:52 [General Statistics]
- Is the sequence effect mandatory? Pankaj Mishra 2009-12-10 07:21
- Sequence effect and 90% CI d_labes 2009-12-10 09:24
- Is the sequence effect mandatory? d_labes 2009-12-10 09:01
- Is the sequence effect mandatory? vezz 2009-12-10 11:02
- Treatment by period interaction d_labes 2009-12-10 16:43
- Old farts Helmut 2009-12-10 16:55
- Old farts vezz 2009-12-10 18:10
- New brooms Helmut 2009-12-10 19:19
- Give sequence a chance d_labes 2009-12-11 09:42
- Give history a chanceHelmut 2009-12-11 13:40
- Old farts? d_labes 2009-12-11 09:09
- Young farts... Helmut 2009-12-11 13:51
- Old farts vezz 2009-12-10 18:10
- Old farts Helmut 2009-12-10 16:55
- Treatment by period interaction d_labes 2009-12-10 16:43
- Is the sequence effect mandatory? vezz 2009-12-10 11:02
- Is the sequence effect mandatory? Pankaj Mishra 2009-12-10 07:21
